This is the same constant level of dont knows that has been seen in most polls over the last 5 years. NewsNow aims to be the world's most accurate and comprehensive aggregator of news about Scotland opinion polls, which are carried out by various polling companies, including members of the British Polling Council (BPC), such as YouGov, Ipsos MORI, and Survation. Under the current polling, Labour is on course to win seats in parts of the country where it has always been a distant spectator, such as both Bournemouth constituencies in Dorset, Macclesfield in Cheshire, Aylesbury in Buckingham, Southend East in Essex, Weston Super Mare, and Bromley and Chiselhurst in south east London. Voters head to polls across Scotland, Wales and England for devolved Public Opinion Polls - For Women Scotland Week-in-Review: Covid sleaze is back and more politically potent than ever, Former Conservative party chairman: Sue Gray appointment proves Starmer is man of the establishment. Latest news on Scottish Opinion Polls, including political opinion polls, voting intention polls, and opinion poll analysis. Prince Harry's U.K. Popularity Down 35 Points Since Meghan WeddingPolling Elsewhere, the Lib Dems have 9 per cent of the vote (-1), but could be well placed to pick up vital seats in the Blue Wall, where voters would sooner pinch their nose and vote amber over red. For Labour and the Lib Dems parties which also supported the legislation and oppose Westminsters intervention the figures are 13 per cent and 14 per cent respectively., The Times poll, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 11 Feb 2023. The above analysis of general election polls has been calculated through linear average equation modelling of the latest UK opinion polls of Westminster voting intention. Easy-to-digest video clips. Use at least 8 characters, an uppercase and a lowercase letter, and a number or symbol. Critics pointed out that the survey contained many in the 24 to 49-year-old age bracket. In the space of a month, support for the SNP in the next Scottish parliament election had fallen from 50 per cent to 44 per cent in the constituency vote . A report released in 2017, entitled From Indyref1 to Indyref2? Full question: Nicola Sturgeon says the SNP will fight the next General Election as a de facto referendum on independence. YouGov poll: The mental health and wellbeing of employees are not supported by legal firms Law News 15:47 3-Feb-23. Support for Scottish independence nudged up to 50% for the first time in 2019, soon after Boris Johnson became prime minister. The survey puts Yes and No roughly neck-and-neck, which has been a consistent trend in polling for over a year. However after the Scottish National Party (SNP) formed a minority government in Edinburgh, support for Scottish independence started to grow again after 2007. ), Lord Ashcroft poll, reported in Holyrood on 13 Feb 2023Full results. In the latter part of 2020, the Conservatives lead in the polls diminished significantly. Polling, even using the same question, can show systematic differences between different polling organisations and sponsors. Pollsters showed that Liberal Democrat voting intention during most of this Parliament has been constant at around the 9% mark with only temporary uplifts above this point. In the midst of the coronavirus pandemic, one in which the Scottish government took responsibility for the handling of the virus in Scotland, there were signs of sustained backing for Scottish independence for the first time. backed Scotland becoming an independent country. YouGov Westminster voting intention If there were a general election held tomorrow, which party would you vote for? The latest Panelbase survey for The Sunday Time shows those aged 16 to 35 back independence by 62 per cent, compared to 48 per cent for Scottish voters as a whole. Scottish election 2021: Polling expert says SNP majority 'on a knife conservative party Labour Party Ballot Box Scotland - Democracy in Detail Consumer packaged goods (CPG) Eating & drinking. Worst-case scenario could see 120,000 Covid-19 deaths this winter scientists, Watch: Gary Neville slams PM as he rages over brutal UC cut, French border guards warn this will be what it is like after Brexit. Humza Yousaf blasted as he promises to spend taxpayer cash on more independence prospectuses, The Scottish Government health secretary, and front-runner to replace Nicola Sturgeon as First Minister, used his speech in Arbroath to claim that he was going to 'kickstart the independence campaign', Ange Postecoglou hails Reo Hatate Celtic impact as he makes 'another couple of levels' claim. The other tables reflect different ways questions around Independence can be asked, they may produce different results. Conservative support then fell by a further 6% as the first Downing Street party allegations emerged. This time 12 months ago, the Conservative party was still just ahead in the polls. The YouGov poll released on Monday night put the lead for the no campaign at six points, down from 14 points in the middle of August and 22 points early last month. However, following the Scottish parliament election of May 2021, one in which Nicola Sturgeon continued in government albeit in coalition with the Scottish greens , there have been signs of a slight drop off in enthusiasm for Scottish independence. Further details of the latest voting intentions in relation to a Scottish independence referendum can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Techne (February 23) which placed the Yes side on 45.3% and the No side on 54.7%, post adjusting for undecided voters. Labour opens up historic poll lead over Tories after days of market In the early part of the 2010s, with a Conservative coalition government in Westminster, and with the SNP focused on holding an indepdence referendum in Scotland, support for Scottish independence grew further. The use of this format has been criticised by pro-independence politicians. Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations to gauge public attitudes to independence. In Wales, Plaid Cymru is currently on course to lose one seat to Labour. Polling conducted before the 2014 Scottish independence referendum can be found here. Since you are here, we wanted to ask for your help. Our mission is to hold the powerful to account. Between January 2015 and December 2022 over 230 polls have been published and recorded in the main table. All rights reserved. Poll Analysis: YouGov 17th - 20th of February 2023 - Ballot Box Scotland The headline data used in calculating these averages has been drawn from that laid out in the published polls of a number of leading firms: YouGov, Opinium, Survation, SavantaComRes, Redfield and Wilton, Techne, Delta Poll,and Ipsos Mori. Six reasons Labour might not win the next election alone, Urban Flight A real threat to many formerly safe seats in the Blue Wall. This page will bring you the latest breaking headlines, and updates automatically and continuously 24/7. At the end of the 1970s, support for Scottish independence was polling at little more than 10%. That lead then jumped to a staggering 24% in the three weeks after former chancellor Kwarsi Kwartengs mini budget and prior to Liz Truss resignation. Given that the parliamentary results in Wales and Scotland are influenced by the existence of a fourth major party (Plaid and the SNP), Politics.co.uk has undertaken separate analysis for swings in Welsh and Scottish constituencies. Please read our privacy policy and terms of use before signing up. Yahoo News / YouGov polls . He is the co-founder of poll aggregator Britain Elects. Labour has surged to its largest poll lead over the Conservatives in more than two decades, with voters turning against Kwasi Kwarteng's tax-cutting budget. Polling conducted before the 2014 Scottish independence referendum can be found here.. Voting Intention: Con 21%, Lab 54% (28-29 Sep 2022) | YouGov Coming into the autumn, the Conservatives appeared to have suffered no adverse polling impacts from either their proposed rise in national insurance, or the autumn fuel shortages. Elsewhere, the Liberal Democrats have 9% of the vote (no change), while the Greens have 7% (-1) and Reform UK have 3% of the vote (no change). Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming independent' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland staying part of the UK' what number would you consider yourself to be?". The latest Panelbase survey. UK general election polls 2023 | Statista Get the latest news from the Express straight to your inbox. About; Social . Latest Westminster voting intention (14-15 Feb)Con: 22% (-2 from 8-9 Feb)Lab: 50% (+3)Lib Dem: 9% (-1)Reform UK: 7% (+1)Green: 6% (=)SNP: 4% (=)https://t.co/WMc2U2wZbs pic.twitter.com/NZ9QZygUG7. Question asked is stated in notes field. Welcome to my summary of the latest national voting intention poll from each pollster currently operating in Britain. Subscribe to our email alert of the day's top stories from the UK and around the world. ", Question asked: "Would you vote SNP at the next General Election if a victory for them could lead to Scotland leaving the UK? Another. Sign up for a FREE NewsNow account and get our email alert of the day's top stories from the UK and around the world. And while 33 per cent said the UK Government was wrong to have blocked the bill, 50 per cent said it was right or within its rights to do so. Please try different keywords. A YouGov poll in March of last year found that 55% backed keeping the monarchy . At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. The latest YouGov/Times voting intention poll, conducted a fortnight after Rishi Sunak became prime minister, shows Labour maintaining a significant lead over the Conservatives. Scottish election 2021: Polling expert says SNP majority 'on a knife-edge' Small movements in the polls between now and May 6 could make an "important difference to the outcome", according to . A band of rain, sleet and snow is expected to move south during Monday followed by frequent snow and hail showers, Ken Bruce leaves BBC with veiled jibe after they ended his show early over concerns was free advertising for a rival, The 72-year-old Glaswegian left Radio to join Greatest Hits Radio in April after the Beeb told him to step down 17 days early, Teaching strikes held off as union on brink of striking pay deal. However after the Scottish National Party (SNP) formed a minority government in Edinburgh, support for Scottish independence started to grow again after 2007. had started to nudge back up towards 40%. 4th October 2022| YouGov found . The current voting intention trend can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Techme (10 February) which placed Labour on 47%, the Conservatives on 26%, and the Liberal Democrts on 9%. The poll was conducted for The Sunday Times over the past week as a review for the Scottish Prison Service found that the process of admitting transgender people to prisons should be improved in the wake of the Isla Bryson case. Most polling companies listed here are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. Results are limited to only those who state they will definitely vote. tax was introduced a year early in Scotland by the UK government. For Women Scotland, conducted by Panelbase, reported in the Times, 18 Dec 2021Data, MurrayBlackburnMackenzie, conducted by Survation, Nov 2021Report I Data. Last updated Nov 16, 2022 View all Trackers (4) Support for creation of a new English Parliament along the lines of the existing Scottish Parliament politics Surveys Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Scottish independence. Dates. Can the public identify the Deputy Leader of the Labour Party? Labour still lead in latest YouGov poll, but gap with Tories narrows to Shock poll finds Tories are heading for near total wipeout in Wales Latest opinion polls news, commentary and analysis, including political and voting intention polls, by polling companies including YouGov, Ipsos MORI and Survation. Under any election held on this basis, the Liberal Democrats would also be on course to gain 22 seats from the Conservatives. The State of Nationalism in Scotland, detailed the previous responses from this survey by grouping options one and two as "independence", options three and four as "devolution" and option five as "No Parliament". As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.2 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. Prince Harry's popularity in the UK has decreased by 35 percentage points over the past four years, a new survey by IPSOS has found. Respondents giving answers between 0 to 4 and 6 to 10 have been mapped to No and Yes here respectively, while respondents giving 5 or "don't know" as answer have been assigned as undecided. Energy & utilities. Humza Yousaf takes the lead as SNP members swing behind Nicola Sturgeon's man, The 'worst health secretary in the history of devolution' is just ahead of his rivals in the SNP leadership contest, although a third of Nat members still don't know who to vote for, Ian Blackford 'looking forward' to end of police probe into SNP's 'murky' finances as he dodges Peter Murrell question. Some organisations have chosen to commission polls that adopt the remain / leave formulation that was used in the 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum. Should the public's feeling remain largely down. Once again the responses vary with exactly how the question is asked. If you can, please show your appreciation for our free content by donating whatever you think is fair to help keep TLE growing and support real, independent, investigative journalism. In the first three weeks of her premiership, the Labour lead over the Conservatives extended to 11%. Inside Labour's battle to retake Scotland as party warned not to 'count chickens too soon', Public mental health is the true measure of political success. New poll shows majority of Scots in favour of same-sex marriage conducted. New projections based on YouGov polling suggest the Conservative Party could be reduced to the UKs fourth-biggest party at the next election. Most of the pollsters listed were members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abided by its disclosure rules.. Click to get a sign-in link sent to your email. Most Recent Independence Poll, YouGov 17th - 20th of February 2023 No Yes Don't Know Headline Excluding Don't Knows 49% (+1) 54% (+1 / -1) 42% (nc) 46% (-1 / +1) 9% (-2) By-Elections By-elections By-Election Result: Dyce, Bucksburn and Danestone February 27, 2023 Comments Off British Social Attitudes Survey 39, reported in The Times, 22 Sep 2022Full results I Chapter on Culture WarsMain findings: YouGov, May 2022Full report I DataMain findings: Equalities, Human Rights and Civil Justice Committee, Scottish Parliament, reported 23 May 2022, Wings Over Scotland, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 02 May 2022: Voting for people who hate you. The new offer will see teachers getting a 12.3% increase by April 2023, and it will rise to 14% by 2024. At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. Yes at 46 per cent when Nicola Sturgeon quit with Labour support rising, poll finds. The previous YouGov covered the 23rd - 26th of January. A high percentage of respondents agreeing that people should be free to express their transgender identity does not however translate into support for reforming the Gender Recognition Act based on self-declaration. Explore what the world thinks, discover our solutions, and join our community to share your opinion. . Scottish Opinion Polls Recent Scottish opinion polls. With the Russian invasion of Ukraine heavily dominating the UK news agenda, the position of the UKs political parties became somewhat becalmed during the spring on 2022 with no notable movements in the polls. We do not charge or put articles behind a paywall. Respondents are asked Which of these statements comes closest to your view? Forgot your password? Excluding those who declare themselves to be undecided (currently around 6% of the electorate), polling averages from February 2023. places the Yes side at 47.1% and the No side at 52.9%. However, following the Scottish parliament election of May 2021, one in which Nicola Sturgeon continued in government albeit in coalition with the Scottish greens , there have been signs of a slight drop off in enthusiasm for Scottish independence. Does Douglas Alexanders comeback herald the return of Labours Blairites? Charities & not-for-profit. A new Yahoo News/YouGov poll finds that Florida Gov. A new opinion poll has found that support for the Tories in Wales is in freefall. (Excluding Dont Knows the margin is just shy of 70/30, very similar to the margin by which people in polls oppose self-ID generally. The YouGov survey for the Sunday Times of 1,088 Scottish voters shows support for the party dropped from 50% to 44% in the Holyrood constituency vote and from 40% to 36% in the regional list,. UK PM hopeful Sunak would have edge over Truss with swing voters - poll We will not share your email address with any third parties. Indeed by the time that the Scot, Gordon Brown, became prime minister in 2007, support for Scottish independence had fallen back to 24%, its lowest level for over two decades. Majority of people support NEU teacher strikes, YouGov poll finds Dorset Live 14:59 6-Feb-23. In this scenario, how would you vote in a General Election? In the case of Northern Ireland, with its own political parties, Politics.co.uk has drawn on the LucidTalk opinion poll of 3 February. All Rights Reserved. The latest YouGov/Times voting intention poll, conducted a fortnight after Rishi Sunak became prime minister, shows Labour maintaining a significant lead over the Conservatives. In the 2016 independence referendum, some 44.7% of Scottish voters backed Scotland becoming an independent country. More Scots are seeing the reality of SNP rule. Former Sun boss and arch right-winger Kelvin MacKenzie also seemed to reach the same conclusion. Please ensure your password has at least 8 characters, an uppercase and a lowercase letter, and a number or symbol. However support for Scottish independence grew significantly during the 1980s, particularly as Margaret Thatchers tenure in office continued. On 23 November 2022, the UK Supreme Court ruled that the Scottish Parliament does not have the power to unilaterally hold an independence referendum without the consent of the Westminster Parliament. Access the latest polls, survey results and articles . Indeed Conservative support appeared to have grown slightly after Rishi Sunaks October 2021 budget. Nicola Sturgeon expected to resign as Scottish First Minister today But why? Tory Votes: YouGov Poll Shows Rishi Sunak Losing Leadership Race in Meanwhile, the latest opinion polls suggest it will be a knife-edge after a recent drop in SNP's approval rating and a small rise in Labour and Conservatives. In the midst of the coronavirus pandemic, one in which the Scottish government took responsibility for the handling of the virus in Scotland, there were signs of sustained backing for Scottish independence for the first time. Truss Widens UK Poll Lead as U-Turn on Public-Worker Pay Gives Sunak Hope An existing account was found for this email address. Rather than experience a new prime ministerial bounce, in September 2022, the picture was not positive for Liz Truss. The majority of people believe that a doctors approval should be needed for a person to change their sex in law. That opinion poll lead so far appears unaffected by Nicola Sturgeons announcement that she was standing down as first minister in mid February 2023. SNP MP apologises over ignorant racial slur, Boris Johnson may have misled parliament on several occasions, Billionaires should not exist Bernie Sanders, Bernie Sanders issues stark warning to Brits over NHS, Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives, Elevenses: Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives. Please read our privacy policy and terms of use before signing up. US ; About ; For business ; . Although it is only a relatively small Scottish sample (148 people out of 1702 polled in total across the UK), the results would see 23 Nats lose their seats to leave them with 25 MPs. Two new polls suggest near-wipeout for the SNP as Labour's Scottish on public opinion. Scotlands political landscape after Nicola Sturgeon? A poll of more than 1,000 people . The commissions interim findings most notably increase the number of seats in the South East of England (+7), London (+3), East Anglia (+3), and the South West (+3), at the expense of Wales (-8), the West Midlands (-3), the North East -3), the North West of England (-3), and Scotland (-2). ", Nicola Sturgeon claims no laws were broken during ferry contract scandal, SNP's 'politics of division' does 'not change' people's lives, says Anas Sarwar, The SNP benches will be a LOT quieter in future according to these new polls. Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Scottish independence. In response to the Redfield and Wilton poll, Scots Labour peer Lord Foulkes tweeted: "SNP on the slide. Brexit and Scottish Independence are a consequence of failure, not a cause, The SNPs goal is, and always will be, purely independence, says Mhairi Black, Blocking Scottish gender bill is no affront to devolution, Week-in-Review: Gender reforms will focus Sturgeons independence push, Sturgeon doubles down after Supreme Court snubbing, Scottish government cannot call indy vote without UK government consent, Supreme Court rules, Sustainable shooting key to governments nature recovery plans, Press release: Shootings role outlined to the new Welsh parliament, Liz Truss says she would use nuclear warfare, Hidden history: The Nazi-Soviet pact which Russia now tries to deny, The bigotry of Ukip is swamping the Conservative party, Very quietly, the coalition tries to dismantle judicial review, Comment: Anti-porn laws allow police to target those they don't like, Ambulance unions approached for pay talks after GMB tightens derogations, Reticulated giraffe heads to London Zoo before big breeding programme move, IRC Statement on IDC Report into UK Aid spend by the Home Office, Corporation tax is the tool to incentivise net zero, Trees: most accurate data yet shows glaring disparity in tree cover across England. With Labour improving its polling position in Scotand, the party would now gain 12 seats off the SNP in Scotland, albeit the SNP would mitigate those losses slightly by gaining three seats from the Conservatives and one from the Lib Dems. [1] Following that judgment, the SNP reiterated its intention to campaign in the next UK general election as a de facto independence referendum. In doing so the Lib Dems would defeat both the deputy prime minister, Dominic Raab, and the Chancellor, Jeremy Hunt. Britain Elects. Two new UK-wide opinion polls have added weight to the growing belief that Labour would be close to catching the SNP if a General Election were held anytime soon.. A survey for YouGov gives the SNP a vote share of 36 per cent, with Labour on 33 per cent, the Conservatives on 19 with the Lib Dems just ahead of the Greens on seven and five per cent respectively. Scottish Opinion Polls News | Latest Opinion Polls - NewsNow Yougov (February 20) which placed the Yes side on 46.2% and the No side on 53.8%, post adjusting for undecided voters. Support for Welsh independence has fallen back to its lowest level in three years, a St David's Day poll for Wales carried out by pollsters YouGov has shown. Data collected at regular intervals about or relating to Voting Intention, tracking changes over time. In terms of specific adjustments then made to this analysis, Politics.co.uk has assumed that the Green MP Caroline Lucas would continue to hold her safe seat in Brighton Pavilion, and that Sir Lindsay Hoyle would be returned as Speaker for his constituency of Chorley. The figures show the Conservatives on 28% of the vote (-4 from our previous survey on 21-23 September) to Labour's 45% (+5) this is the highest Labour lead YouGov has ever recorded. Last updated Feb 28, 2023 View all Articles (514) Voting Intention: Con 23%, Labour 46% politics 1 day ago Trackers Data collected at regular intervals about or relating to Voting Intention, tracking changes over time. The figures show the Conservatives on 28% of the vote (-4 from our previous survey on 21-23 September) to Labour's 45% (+5) - this is the highest Labour lead YouGov has ever recorded. Although we'd had a YouGov earlier in February, that was for the Scottish Opinion Monitor (Scoop) and YouGov have since clarified the questions were slightly different and thus not comparable. Truss Extends Lead Over Sunak in Race to Lead UK, Poll Shows In the case of Scotland, Politics.co.uk drew on the most recent Scottish voting intention polling data from Survation on 18 February. In this case, Nicola Sturgeon has said that the SNP will treat the next UK General Election as a "de facto" referendum, campaigning on the single issue of independence. The end of 2021, showed how quickly politics can change. The YouGov polling for The Times also suggests widespread public dissatisfaction with the government's economic plan. Question asked. Our first Tory members poll since the final two candidates were decided shows Liz Truss with a 24pt . Although these recommendations are yet to be finalized, the next General Election will almost certainly be fought on a redrawn constituency map. ", Question asked was "In principle, do you think there should or YouGov said that among those who voted Conservative in 2019 but now say they plan to vote Labour, Sunak's net favourability score, the percentage who have a 'favourable' opinion minus the . Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "If a referendum were held in Scotland on its constitutional future, would you personally prefer Scotland to vote for or against leaving the UK and becoming an independent country??".
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