Find out more about the nominated candidates for the Bega State by-election held on 12 February 2022. . Electoral results for the district of Bega, List of New South Wales state by-elections, "Labor wins seat of Gilmore, no more lower house seats in doubt", "Antony Green explains how living with COVID could affect elections, starting tomorrow", "NSW by-elections a 'huge disappointment' for Liberals as Labor claims Bega and Nationals hold Monaro", "Liberals candidate Fiona Kotvojs concedes defeat in Bega state by-election", "Nominated candidates for the 2022 Bega state by-election", "Two Candidate Preferred Report Parliamentary Election: Bega", New South Wales Electoral Commission: Bega State by-election, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2022_Bega_state_by-election&oldid=1127706819, All Wikipedia articles written in Australian English, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 3.0, This page was last edited on 16 December 2022, at 06:13. Turnbull The counting of postal ballot papers will begin on Saturday 19 February. The Greens came third, with a primary vote ranging from 8.8% in northern Eurobodalla to 14.2% in northern Bega Valley. Going to need some big loss of personal vote from Constance to give Labor a chance here, with the Liberal vote already high at 48.9%. February 2022 State By-Elections 12-FEB-2022 First Preference Votes Report Parliamentary Election: Bega . Jeffrey M. Hawkins (Ed.D) directs the urban education doctoral program and social studies teacher education program. The search for AI has always been . Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for the Liberal Party, Labor and the Greens. Labor at a federal level does well in this area so they have the demographics to support this. 48 year-old Constance is a former President of the NSW Young Liberals and worked in government relations and corporate affairs before winning pre-selection for Bega ahead of the 2003 election. I do not believe the NSW poll saying nothing has moved since Gladys resigned. The by-election was precipitated by the early resignation of former member Andrew Constance, who was running for the Federal seat of Gilmore in the upcoming federal election. They are wrong at least 90% of the time. Four times the Liberal 2-party preferred has passed 60%, in 1988, 1991 and 1995, and again on the landslide defeat of the Keneally government in 2011. Bryce Wilson is standing again for Labor after an unsuccessful campaign at the 2019 NSW election. Monaro may be more anti-lockdown than this seat, Lockdowns are popular whether people like them or not. It was recreated in 1988. Oct. 14, 2018. Election day is Saturday, February 12. February 2022 State By-Elections 12-FEB-2022 First Preference Votes Report Parliamentary Election: Bega 26/02/2022 1:31:20 PM. Well, state elections are not so much about ideology, but SERVICE DELIVERY, crime, local issues and so on. Jeffrey Hawkins (Independent) a resident of Tathra (no other information available), Ursula Bennett (Independent) has stood in previous elections for the Christian Democratic Party (Fred Nile Group). Id be calling a Liberal Retain at this stage, with a reduced margin, owing to the Personal Vote of Constance and the impact of OPV. Antony Green is the ABC's Chief Elections Analyst. (She probably wouldnt have contested Monaro due to it being a Nationals and not Liberal seat). Despite the Liberals suffering a 10-point swing against them in 2015, they retained it and did so again in 2019. Oh no Bennett was the Christian Democrat candidate for this seat at the 2003, 2011 and 2015 state elections, and also for Eden-Monaro at the 2004, 2010 and 2016 Federal elections. New South Wales Bega By-election 2022 Polling Place Results 2022 . Fiona Kotvojs (Liberals) : is a beef and truffle farmer from Dignams Creek who has twice been narrowly unsuccessful as the Liberal candidate for the federal seat of Eden-Monaro: in 2019, when she fell 0.8% short of unseating Mike Kelly, and at the subsequent by-election following Kellys retirement in July 2020, when Kristy McBain retained the seat for Labor by 0.4%. Theres often wealthy farmers who are registered to rich metro suburbs (see Dalkeith, Claremont & East Perth in WA) because they have a home in the city as well. Jeffrey is related to Glyndia Dell Fancher . - Training, Maintenance, Support, Continuous Improvement for online iPOS/SUN PO and Invoice system. It's responsible for almost everything we associate with intelligence, such as our ability to speak, create music, and solve complex problems. Welcome to the official Facebook page of the Bega District News! To make a comment or suggest a change to the . Senior Staff. Borrowing from the work of neuroscientist Vernon Mountcastle, Hawkins reports that the . iVote is not available but see note below on postal voting. McMahon Also it depends on who Labor nominate for this seat. Recent Bega election results - 2 party preferred. NOTE: Comments are on TRIAL for Members Only - Feel free to Register - Note you are legally liablefor what you write and anything that breaches our Terms and Conditions WILL be deleted and if you persist you WILL be BLOCKED. 10/13/2021 6:34 AM. Jack Gramenz / Politics / Updated 17.12.2021. Jeffrey Hawkins, Independent; Karin Geiselhart Sustainable Australia Party; Ursula Bennett, Independent; Michael Holland, Labor; Peter Haggar, Greens; Victor Hazir, Shooters Fishers and Farmers; Fiona Kotvojs, Liberal; Pre-poll voting for the Bega by-election opens on Monday, January 31. About us. To get a rough baseline I have IND (Ursula) at 1.5%, IND (Hawkins) 1%, SUS 2.5%, SFF 7%, GRN 10%, 32% ALP, 46% LIB. GitHub export from English Wikipedia. Thats just a nonsensical statement. Riverside County Supervisor Jeff Hewitt was bound for a runoff election in November, facing Moreno Valley Mayor Yxstian Gutierrez, who held a razor-thin lead in the ballot tally Wednesday, though far shy of the 50% threshold needed to secure victory. [2], The NSW Electoral Commission pre-emptively sent postal ballots to all voters registered on the state electoral roll, under a regulation in a COVID amendment to the Electoral Act. Independent candidate for Bega by-election Jeffrey Hawkins https://ift.tt/SDUEPNcbd. the restrictions are popular. AEST = Australian Eastern Standard Time which is 10 hours ahead of GMT (Greenwich Mean Time). Posted By : / independent trading company phone number /; Under :gender sensitization ppt templategender sensitization ppt template Search our database of over 100 million company and executive profiles. Be sure to. Constance says hes resigning on Nov 26 which therefore means the by-election will be after Christmas. This resulted in the seat being contested by Independent Chris Vardon, who had served as President of local Eurobodalla Shire for 12 years. Griffith City Council - Mayor Doug Curran. The ballot draw for Bega has been announced and the order on the ballot paper will be: Jeffrey Hawkins, Independent Author of Self-Making Studio. Liberal results have returned to more normal levels since 2011, Constance recording 58.2% after preference in 2015 and 56.9% in 2019 . I have this down as Liberal Retain with a very outside chance of Labor upset. Access unlimited news content and The Canberra Times app. Bega was won at its first modern contest in 1988 by the Liberal Partys Russell Smith, who held the seat with ease until his retirement in 2003. The Bega District News has been a main source of information in the Bega Valley since 1864. As unprecedented as it may sound what if Kristy Mcbain resigned her federal seat and ran here? As is often evident in election results the position a candidate receives on a ballot paper serves the donkey vote well. Haggar has lived in the Bega Valley for 15 years raising a family and operating Caf Evolve in Bega. Dr Holland is an obstetrician, gynaecologist and university lecturer and has lived and worked in the district for two decades. Daniel seriously. Limited Interactive map of district boundaries from the, Last edited on 26 February 2023, at 09:41, Electoral results for the district of Bega, Results of the 2019 New South Wales state election (Legislative Assembly) Bega, "The Hon. For the first time, postal vote packages have been sent to all electors in the electorates, as part of COVID-19 safe practices. The period left Constance re-assessing his political future and hinting he would not contest the next election. Victor Hazir, Shooters Fishers and Farmers; Fiona Kotvojs, Liberal; Pre-poll voting for the Bega by-election opens on Monday, January 31 . To date, one live Candidates Forum has been run at 6PM on 31st January at Kyla Hall, Tuross Head organised by the Tuross Head Progress Association. NP corflutes in East Perth? Lockdowns and restrictions play well in Queensland where voters are more conservative and law abiding. Connect with Jeffrey Hawkins, a personal injury attorney in San Antonio, Texas | Don't hire just ANY lawyer, hire a Guru! The Ivote system will not be used for these by-elections, but all electors were sent a postal voting pack and everyone is allowed to pre-poll. It is represented by Michael Holland of the Labor Party. I dont need to add anything more. Along with the Liberals, Labor and Greens candidates, there are two independents, a candidate for the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers, and one for Sustainable Australia Party - Stop Overdevelopment and Corruption. This page has been accessed 2,219 times. At that election, Andrew Constance's margin blew out to 18.6%. With an Independent drawn as Barrier One it will be interesting to see the results from this election. Hawkesbury City Council - Mayor Sarah McMahon elected 23-8-22 ( Mayor Patrick Conolly resigned 11-8-22) Hay Shire Council - Mayor Carol Oataway. If she keeps her Primary Vote above 21,000, she should be ok. How did that workout Hawkeye? Within a day of his announcement, Constance withdrew after facing personal attacks and realising he would face a difficult pre-election battle. Will be interesting to see how Constance can campaign as a federal candidate in Gilmore while also distancing himself from the Prime Minister! He swapped major portfolios with Gladys Berejiklian after the 2015 election, serving as Mininster for Transport and Infrastructure 2015-19 and Transport and Roads 2019-21. These companies have an estimated turnover of $ 4.074 billions and employ a number of employees estimated at 5,777. when will bingo halls reopen in massachusetts. The old brain and the new. Of course, this was Michael Hollands (and Constances) home turf but this makes it all the more harder for Andrew Constance to try and win back Gilmore from Labor in a declining Morrison government and as Ed Husic had said, his popularity has waned since the bushfires and voters will question the need for him to try and jump from state to federal politics. For more details on the by-election visit the NSW Electoral Commission's website.The by-election has been caused by the resignation from Parliament of former Transport Minister Andrew Constance. The Liberals hold Bega by a safe 6.9 per cent, while The Nationals hold Monaro by a 11.6 per . They are : Dr Michael Holland (Labor) : has been an obstetrician-gynaecologist at Moruya District Hospital for 19 years and lectured at the Australian National University medical school. They have also lived in Hollister, MO and Point . Father of Roger Hawkins , Susanna Margaret Hawkins , Daniel Hawkins , Elizabeth Jane (Hawkins) Derby , Jeffrey Hawkins , James Hawkins , Roger Hawkins and Anne Hawkins. [5] In 1920, with the introduction of proportional representation, it was absorbed into Goulburn, along with Monaro. Following the decision of the incumbent member Andrew Constance to resign in order to run in Gilmore at the 2022 Federal Election, a by-election was held in 2022 which saw Labor's Michael Holland win the seat with a substantial 14-point swing. Wait a few weeks to see the impact in terms of new cases and their severity. Bega is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. Read our Privacy Policy. Liberal Party two-party preferred percentage ranging from 19.8% at the tiny Tanja Public School east of Bega, to 68.5% at the Sapphire Coast Bridge Club Room at Tura Beach near Merimbula. Karin Geiselhart (Sustainable Australia) a part-time resident and investor in the Eurobodalla region since the 1980s with a long term interest in climate change issues. 7 Candidates in total with order being IND, SUS, IND, ALP, GRN, SFF, and LIB. It might be close in 2023 as 1976 and 1995 which were both years the coalition lost government in NSW it was close, however going through 4 premiers, the same as what the last Labor government went through, voters are sick and tired of NSW changing premiers every term of parliament. Andrew Constance held Bega for the Liberal Party from 2003 until his retirement in 2021. Antony Green is the ABC's Chief Elections Analyst. eg mistreating those in lgas of concern, does the other side seem capable to do the job. Based on what exactly Jess? Jeff will be deeply missed by his wife Marilyn; his stepson Steven E. (Emily) Gendrikovs; his grandchildren Anna, Charles, Iris and Rudy Gendrikovs; his father John Hawkins; his brother Nathan Hawkins; brothers in law and . Hawkins has been wondering how brains work for a long time, ever since he read a 1979 essay by Francis Crick (the DNA pioneer) about how mysterious the brain remains. Not sure how far up the coast the boundary with South Coast was. It is far too early to make any judgement call as to whether the NSW re-opening is a good or bad thing. You make ridiculously sweeping generalisations with no specific localised data to back it up. Will be interesting to see the effect of Ms Kotvojs candidacy has on the Liberal vote, as Andrew Constance would have had some personal vote and the unpopularity of the Federal government may punish Ms Kotvojs as most electors in Bega will know her as a failed Federal candidate for E-M. The Liberal margin blew out in their 2011 landslide, along with many other Liberal-held country seats. The swing that was in the northern part of the seat around Moruya and Batemans Bay (i.e. Election 25/01/2022 Hawkins, Jeffrey Jay Bega 2022 State By-election Legislative Assembly Election 24/01/2022 1. Labor are much more likely to win this than seats like Riverstone and Ryde and Drummoyne which evidently have moved away from Labor. The writs for election were issued on 21 January 2022. Bega is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South . Kristy McBain won because of the swing to her in the Bega Valley around her homebase of Merimbula. Only small fields of candidates have nominated for the two seats. @Ryan fair point, didnt think of that. But the Liberal candidate in the neighbouring seat of Bega, cattle farmer Fiona Kotvojs, drew the last ballot position, when the ballot draw was made on Friday morning. Sure my predictions have been wrong before as has many peoples on this board before however NSW has never had a religious right premier, and we all know how popular people like Tony Abbott and Donald Trump became didnt we. Be sure to. Enclosed are the Candidate Responses received to date. NSW STATE ELECTION RESULTS 2022 . They may hold onto Monaro as that has a more conservative nature but the departure of 2 high profile ministers and the way Gladys premiership ended and the unpopularity of Morrison will cost them government at both state and federal. Postal vote processing will not begin until Wednesday 16 February, after rolls for in-person voting have been scanned. Brother of Margaret Hawkins; Daniel Hawkins; Elizabeth Jane Derby; Ann Hawkins; James Hawkins and 5 others. Birthplace: Norton-Bavant, Wiltshire, England. Will be tight, Holland is a very good candidate and just like Minns has been targeting talkback radio like 2GB. The second best result is Jeffrey Hawkins age 40s in Beaumont, TX in the South C.a.n.a. He recently resigned from the Southern NSW Local Health District arguing that a review into maternity services at Moruya Hospital had not addressed alleged 'unsafe' practices. Pre-poll voting for the Bega by-election opens on Monday, January 31. (Chicago Tribune . The Liberal Party won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all four areas, ranging from just 50.5% in Bega Valley North to 59.5% in Bega Valley South. This is the first time Dr Holland has stood for election in any parliament. AJP ran last time so they might go again here. one point as well optional preferential means usually benefita the main party that polls the higher primary vote in any given seat who is the premier is effected by.. do they seem competent includes mistakes in administration unfair policy decisions. What about Monaro? We acknowledge Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples as the First Australians and Traditional Custodians of the lands where we live, learn, and work. Now, Rochester Hills Chrysler Jeep Dodge has agreed to settle with the mechanic's family. Geography Access unlimited content and the digital versions of our print editions - This Week's Paper. South-eastern NSW. The ballot draw for Bega has been announced and the order on the ballot paper will be: Bring on election night! Jeffrey HawkinsAGE: 40 PennsaukenJeffrey Hawkins, of Pennsauken, NJ, on February 24, 2014, age 40, aka "BUFF". Will we miss Mr Constance aka The Gingerbread Man handing out the $$$ here and there and everywhere before every election??? NSW south coast farmer Fiona Kotvojs will attempt to hang on to the Bega seat for the Liberal Party at an upcoming by-election. NSW Electoral Commission. Countries around the world are all re-opening after lockdowns and all states will soon have to follow in NSWs lead. Princess Fiona??? However, the electorate is increasingly dominated by tourism and the service industries that surround the electorates large retiree population. Informing the community since 1864. Shortly afterwards he was critical of Scott Morrison's visit to fire ravaged Cobargo in the electorate, suggesting the Prime Minister had received the reception he deserved. I think there will be some anger at Constances sudden departure, though 7% is not that easy to overcome. If we allocate CON votes to LIB from last time, their vote starts above 50%. In Bega, there are seven candidates with independent Jeffrey Hawkins drawing first place on the ballot. None other than Brendon Grylls, a few weeks away from taking the position of influence in the Liberal/National Alliance Govt on the back of the RfR policy platform. - Finance Projects, Audit requirements, systems documentation, UAT preparation. Also during bushfire season so hopefully nothing flares up. Need I say more??? Jeff Hawkins, a Silicon Valley veteran who spent the last decade exploring . COLERAIN TOWNSHIP, OH (FOX19) - Bond was set at $3 million Tuesday for the man who called 911 and calmly told a dispatcher he shot and killed his wife. After his first victory in 2003, Constance increased his majority in 2007, and took the seat into very safe Liberal territory on the defeat of the Labor government in 2011. From responding to housing and homelessness to addressing family violence and inadequate social supports, NCOSS is highlighting the solutions needed to drive down poverty and disadvantage in the Bega electorate. I have been a visitor, part time resident and investor in the ES since the 1980s. This will come down to whoever the Liberal Party decides to endorse. Kotvojs was the Liberal candidate for the overlapping Federal seat of Eden-Monaro in 2019 and at the 2020 by-election. Kristy McBain was quite high profile and was able to narrowly retain a marginal seat. Jeffrey Hawkins (Independent) Karin Geiselhart (Sustainable Australia) Ursula Bennett (Independent) Michael Holland (Labor) Peter Haggar (Greens) Dr Holland has been a strong advocate to see improved health services in the region, continuing to place a spotlight on the fact that Eurobodalla Health Services has to send more than 40 per cent of its patients to hospitals outside the region. Labor's highest first preference vote since 1988 is 34.9% in 2007. Also read: Overall, she's best, and only, Nat candidate for Monaro. Whitlam By most other measures these PMS were spectacular failures. Bega Legislative Council Result: Coalition 37.1%, Labor 28.4%, Greens 10.4%, Shooters, Fishers and Farmers 7.1%, One Nation 6.9%, Animal Justice 2.3%, Liberal Democrats 1.6%, Voluntary Euthanasia 1.5%, Christian Democrats 1.2%, Sustainable Australia 1.1% Others 2.4%. Jeff Hawkins will change the way the world thinks about intelligence and the prospect of intelligent machines." - John Doerr , partner, Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers "Jeff Hawkins has written an original, thought-provoking and, with the help of Sandra Blakeslee, remarkably readable book that presents a new theory of the functions of . At the end of the pre-polling period on Friday 11 February, 17,343 pre-polls had been taken representing 29.4% of enrolment. State Electoral District of Bega Two Candidate Preferred (TCP) Analytical Tool Millions of real salary data collected from government and companies - annual starting salaries, average salaries, payscale by company, job title, and city. Daniel, I would argue the political mood and feeling in NSW is TOTALLY DIFFERENT to that in Queensland. It is represented by Michael Holland of the Labor Party. I think Constance has a large personal vote, and this is the only one of the three Labor have a chance in. Assessment From responding to housing and homelessness to addressing family violence and inadequate social supports, NCOSS is highlighting the solutions needed to drive down poverty and disadvantage in the Bega electorate. Now he says he's got the ultimate invention: software that mimics the human brain. The Bega valley is a rich agriculture district, and the fishing industry still operates out of some ports. By using The Beagle Comment option available for Members we expect that you: represent your own views and do not impersonate or falsely represent any other person, are civil and respectful of others and their opinions, do not be abusive, harass or threaten others. Representation Formal Votes % Total Formal Votes; HAWKINS Jeffrey: Independent: 1,379: 2.79%: GEISELHART Karin: Sustainable Australia Party - Stop Overdevelopment / Corruption: Ensure Job Security for Local Businesses. Hawkins begins by walking us through the basics of the neocortex, which makes up 70 percent of the human brain. ABC Southeast Radio held a candidates forum at Riverside park in Moruya from 9AM till 10AM on Tuesday 8th February, which was broadcast live. Two Candidate Preferred (TCP) Analytical Tool. This service may include material from Agence France-Presse (AFP), APTN, Reuters, AAP, CNN and the BBC World Service which is copyright and cannot be reproduced. This is especially important as seats like Drummoyne, Bathurst and Riverstone are increasingly out of reach and the demographic shifts in East Hills and Oatley are trending away from Labor along the Georges River (all seats they held until 2011). For open, accountable and responsive government. Roberts, Robert Ellis. The Independent challenge to Constance, and against Gladys Berejiklian in Willoughby at the same election, were signs of the factional tension that plagued the Liberal Party in 2003. To make a comment or suggest a change to the election site, pleasecontact us. I hadnt heard much about Perrottet before but based on new media reports if he is from the right faction (especially in one speech to parliament endorsing/supporting Trump) he will be a drag on the state Liberal Party. She started her working career as a high school teacher before she moved on to operate two businesses, one of which specialised in designing, managing and evaluating Australian foreign aid programs in Asia-Pacific nations. Cause of by-election The by-election was held on the same day as by-elections for other NSW seats of Monaro, Strathfield and Willoughby. Nationals candidate Nichole Overall picked up the number two position on the ballot paper for the seat of Monaro, vacated by former NSW Nats leader John Barilaro. do not use insulting, provocative hateful, obscene or offensive language, do not make unproven or unsupported accusations against individuals or organisations, do not post material that infringes the intellectual property rights of others, do not post misinformation or misleading information, do not post overtly party political comments, do not post internet addresses or links to websites (verified Australian and state and territory .gov.au websites are permitted), do not identify matters that are currently the subject of legal proceedings or would break a courts non-publication order. 3. Kandidater til statsvalget i New South Wales 1999 - Candidates of the 1999 New South Wales state election. Bega covers all of EurobodallaandBega Valley shires. Sorry Hawkeye but youre biased if you think the Liberal party will win under Perrottet. Whitepages people search is Get Full Access To Jeffrey's Info. Should have run in Willoughby instead, much closer! Mar 01 2023: Filed Mar 01 2023: HB 3188 (88th Legislature (2023)) Bring me back Gladys would you. 3. Hat tip to Antony Green pointing out that one of the INDs (Ursula Bennett) ran for the CDP in this seat at 03 11 15 State Elections and 04 10 16 Federal Elections in Eden-Monaro. There obviously is some personal vote that Constance enjoyed but it wont be 7%, but regardless I am tipping a Labor gain because of the factors I mentioned before.
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